Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Merrimack Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.0% | 60.0% | +2.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Merrimack Warriors +7 (79-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Doty | 45 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 9-9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - |
| A. Chandler | 42 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 23 | - |
| B. Coyle | 39 | 2-10 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| F. Folefac | 38 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| I. Henderson | 21 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| C. Jones | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| J. Shoats | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| R. Mulvey | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Dorset | 45 | 4-13 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| K. Kennedy | 45 | 8-21 | 0-1 | 16-16 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 13 | - |
| E. Shelton | 45 | 6-13 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| A. Marrero | 32 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Brogna | 28 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| KC Ugwuakazi | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | - |
| D. Veillette | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter