Model Predictions
| Model | Merrimack Warriors | Siena Saints | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | +3.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Siena Saints -4 (59-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Dorset | 40 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| K. Kennedy | 40 | 6-16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 3 | - |
| E. Shelton | 32 | 4-12 | 4-10 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| T. Brogna | 30 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| A. Marrero | 25 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| KC Ugwuakazi | 25 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| J. Stinson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Veillette | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Doty | 40 | 5-17 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | - |
| J. Shoats | 37 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| F. Folefac | 36 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 20 | - |
| B. Coyle | 32 | 1-8 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| A. Chandler | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| C. Jones | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Mulvey | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| I. Henderson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter