Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Rider Broncs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 92.1% | 7.9% | -13.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rider Broncs -9 (65-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Shoats | 38 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 7 | +14.1 |
| G. Doty | 35 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | +14.1 |
| B. Coyle | 30 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | +12.5 |
| A. Chandler | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | +9.8 |
| F. Folefac | 20 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +1.7 |
| R. Mulvey | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +12.6 |
| I. Henderson | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +6.3 |
| C. Jones | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Cruz | 39 | 9-18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 7 | -14.1 |
| F. Burton | 37 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | -14.1 |
| A. Wilson | 33 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -7.3 |
| S. Fuller | 32 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 20 | -8.3 |
| C. Smith | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4.3 |
| D. Bynum | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -2.0 |
| K. Kepežinskas | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Diallo | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -6.7 |
| A. Coulibaly | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7.4 |
| J. McNeil | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
| C. McCabe | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.7 |
* = starter