Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.3% | 87.7% | +10.8 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +1 (62-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Prudhomme | 33 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | +3.4 |
| Justin Page | 31 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +6.8 |
| Josiah Sabino | 28 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Trenton Walters | 27 | 1-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -1 | +4.2 |
| Will Shortt | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -1.0 |
| Vice Zanki | 23 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | -4.1 |
| Justin Hawkins | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +6.1 |
| Landon Williams | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
| Kabeya Tshibangu | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.5 |
| Brian Griffith | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +0.1 |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Benjamin | 38 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 16 | -2.3 |
| Braden Sparks | 36 | 4-18 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Declan Wucherpfennig | 35 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | +3.9 |
| Tony Williams | 30 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | +3.5 |
| Halon Rawlins | 26 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -2.7 |
| Eric Mejia | 15 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6.1 |
| Deuce Turner | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -2.2 |
| Ryan Zan | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.4 |
| Isaac Munkadi | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.2 |
* = starter