Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Niagara Purple Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.5% | 29.5% | -4.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Niagara Purple Eagles -8 (75-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Benjamin | 35 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 23 | +3.4 |
| Braden Sparks | 34 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | -2.4 |
| Declan Wucherpfennig | 31 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Deuce Turner | 24 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | -0.0 |
| Eric Mejia | 22 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +6.4 |
| Tony Williams | 17 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | +4.1 |
| Halon Rawlins | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +4.4 |
| Ryan Zan | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.9 |
| Cam Estevez | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +0.5 |
| Isaac Munkadi | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +0.5 |
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Williams | 34 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +2.0 |
| Justin Page | 31 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 15 | +1.9 |
| Will Shortt | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 14 | +4.7 |
| Justin Hawkins | 24 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +5.9 |
| Reggie Prudhomme | 24 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | -6.5 |
| Josiah Sabino | 17 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -14.2 |
| Vice Zanki | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -9.4 |
| Trenton Walters | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -0.1 |
| Kabeya Tshibangu | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.3 |
| Brian Griffith | 5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +0.3 |
* = starter