Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.4% | 99.6% | +29.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +26 (84-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Page | 38 | 4-14 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | -16.8 |
| Landon Williams | 37 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | -11.3 |
| Reggie Prudhomme | 36 | 1-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -21.6 |
| Justin Hawkins | 33 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -10.2 |
| Kabeya Tshibangu | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -6.4 |
| Will Shortt | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -9.2 |
| Drew Larson | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -8.5 |
| Brian Griffith | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.6 |
| AJ McBride | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazar Djokovic | 28 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 11-11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 26 | +23.1 |
| Barry Evans | 27 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | +19.8 |
| Nyk Lewis | 27 | 4-11 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | +2.2 |
| Michael Belle | 25 | 5-5 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 16 | +13.0 |
| Brandon Jennings | 23 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +9.2 |
| Terrence Hill Jr. | 23 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | +10.6 |
| Jordan Tillery | 14 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +7.9 |
| Keyshawn Mitchell | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5.1 |
| Jadrian Tracey | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Ahmad Nowell | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +11.7 |
| Tyrell Ward | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -5.3 |
* = starter