Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Marist Red Foxes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.0% | 77.0% | +6.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marist Red Foxes +15 (82-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Sparks | 34 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 5 | -24.2 |
| Brandon Benjamin | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -16.6 |
| Declan Wucherpfennig | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -13.1 |
| Tony Williams | 24 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 4-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | -4.5 |
| Deuce Turner | 22 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | -17.1 |
| Eric Mejia | 21 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -4.9 |
| Ryan Zan | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -3.9 |
| Isaac Munkadi | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Halon Rawlins | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -7.1 |
| Nasir Rodriguez | 7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +5.9 |
Marist Red Foxes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadin Collins-Roberts | 29 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | +14.3 |
| Rhyjon Blackwell | 27 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | +8.2 |
| Justin Menard | 27 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +24.8 |
| Elijah Lewis | 26 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Jaden Daughtry | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | +10.1 |
| Myles Parker | 19 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +7.0 |
| Parby Kabamba | 17 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | +6.2 |
| Jordan Gabriel | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +4.1 |
| Jason Schofield | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 14 | +7.3 |
| Martin Kawa | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -7.9 |
| Ricky McKenzie | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -6.0 |
* = starter