Model Predictions
| Model | Marist Red Foxes | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.4% | 80.6% | +9.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.4% | 88.6% | +11.3 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +4 (66-62). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Marist Red Foxes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadin Collins-Roberts * | 35 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -8.5 |
| Elijah Lewis * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | -1.3 |
| Jaden Daughtry * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | +5.0 |
| Justin Menard * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -6.9 |
| Parby Kabamba * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -11.7 |
| Rhyjon Blackwell | 34 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 16 | +3.6 |
| Jordan Gabriel | 24 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +10.7 |
| Trace Salton | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -6.1 |
| Myles Parker | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5.1 |
| Martin Kawa | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Moore * | 37 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | +6.2 |
| Tre Carroll * | 34 | 4-14 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -2 | +10.3 |
| Roddie Anderson III * | 33 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 5-8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Robinson * | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -7.8 |
| Filip Borovicanin * | 12 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -12.8 |
| All Wright | 27 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | +8.5 |
| Jovan Milicevic | 18 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | +9.6 |
| Isaiah Walker | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6.3 |
| Pape N'Diaye | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +1.9 |
* = starter