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2025-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Manhattan Jaspers Rider Broncs Spread Result
Elo 65.2% 34.8% -
Bradley-Terry 61.9% 38.1% -
Margin 58.2% 41.8% -1.8 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 71.1% 28.9% -
Efficiency 84.9% 15.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.0% 29.0% -
Log Adjusted 71.0% 29.0% -
Points Off/Def 52.2% 47.8% -

Actual: Rider Broncs -3 (71-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Manhattan Jaspers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Winston 38 6-10 3-3 2-3 5 1 2 0 2 17 13 -3.1
D. Dinkins 32 3-10 0-2 4-4 0 2 2 0 4 10 0 -4.0
A. Isaac 31 5-14 0-0 4-8 12 0 0 0 1 14 11 +8.1
M. Ljubicic 30 2-4 1-2 3-4 10 1 1 1 2 8 15 +8.5
T. Jones 25 4-10 1-5 6-6 3 1 2 0 0 15 11 +10.4
E. Oliver-Bush 22 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 3 -7.6
F. Roxburgh 19 2-8 1-6 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 5 2 -12.4
Q. Elliott 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 +2.9

Rider Broncs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Burton 37 6-20 4-13 2-3 3 4 1 0 3 18 3 +0.1
S. Fuller 34 9-12 0-0 0-1 14 1 1 2 0 18 24 +2.7
Z. Cruz 34 3-13 1-7 1-2 2 4 0 0 2 8 -1 +7.9
D. Bynum 32 7-15 1-1 4-5 7 1 2 1 1 19 14 +3.2
C. Smith 26 0-3 0-0 1-2 8 6 2 1 2 1 13 +5.8
J. McNeil 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 2 3 -14.7
C. McCabe 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -9.8
M. Diallo 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -5.1
A. Coulibaly 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 +2.0

* = starter