Model Predictions
| Model | Manhattan Jaspers | Rider Broncs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.0% | 42.0% | -1.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rider Broncs -3 (71-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Winston | 38 | 6-10 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | -2.8 |
| Devin Dinkins | 32 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | -6.6 |
| Anthony Isaac | 31 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +5.5 |
| Marko Ljubicic | 30 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 15 | +5.1 |
| Terrance Jones | 25 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | +10.1 |
| Erik Oliver-Bush | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -11.8 |
| Fraser Roxburgh | 19 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -11.5 |
| Quron Elliott | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.8 |
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flash Burton | 37 | 6-20 | 4-13 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 3 | -2.9 |
| Shemani Fuller | 34 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 24 | +4.4 |
| Zion Cruz | 34 | 3-13 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | +8.9 |
| Davis Bynum | 32 | 7-15 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 14 | +0.8 |
| Caleb Smith | 26 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | +5.5 |
| Jamir McNeil | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -14.5 |
| Cole McCabe | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -8.2 |
| Mohamad Diallo | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.1 |
| AB Coulibaly | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1.7 |
* = starter