Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Manhattan Jaspers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.1% | 75.9% | +6.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Manhattan Jaspers +5 (95-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Burton | 40 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 9-12 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 19 | -1.6 |
| C. Smith | 36 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 21 | -3.8 |
| Z. Cruz | 35 | 9-20 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 12 | +5.0 |
| A. Wilson | 21 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | -3.6 |
| D. Helterhoff | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | -1.9 |
| S. Fuller | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -1.2 |
| D. Bynum | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -3.1 |
| A. Coulibaly | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| J. McNeil | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Winston | 37 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 16 | +1.7 |
| T. Jones | 33 | 7-13 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | -0.4 |
| D. Dinkins | 32 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 8-8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 18 | +1.1 |
| M. Ljubicic | 27 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -6.6 |
| F. Roxburgh | 23 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 17 | +8.1 |
| A. Isaac | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +8.3 |
| Q. Elliott | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2.3 |
| B. Rumpel | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -10.3 |
| A. Miguel | 4 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| E. Oliver-Bush | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.2 |
| J. Delaney | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.6 |
* = starter