Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Manhattan Jaspers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.9% | 76.1% | +6.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Manhattan Jaspers +5 (95-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flash Burton | 40 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 9-12 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 19 | -8.4 |
| Caleb Smith | 36 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 21 | -3.1 |
| Zion Cruz | 35 | 9-20 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 12 | +7.8 |
| Antwan Wilson | 21 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | -5.4 |
| Daniel Helterhoff | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | -5.6 |
| Shemani Fuller | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +1.0 |
| Davis Bynum | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -5.1 |
| AB Coulibaly | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Jamir McNeil | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.7 |
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Winston | 37 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 16 | +3.2 |
| Terrance Jones | 33 | 7-13 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | -3.7 |
| Devin Dinkins | 32 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 8-8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 18 | +0.1 |
| Marko Ljubicic | 27 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -8.5 |
| Fraser Roxburgh | 23 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 17 | +7.3 |
| Anthony Isaac | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +4.4 |
| Quron Elliott | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Brett Rumpel | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -9.6 |
| Erik Oliver-Bush | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.6 |
| A. Miguel | 4 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +4.1 |
| Jackson Delaney | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.5 |
* = starter