Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Manhattan Jaspers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.7% | 31.3% | -4.3 | ✗ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Manhattan Jaspers +4 (70-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Sparks | 37 | 8-16 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | +1.2 |
| Declan Wucherpfennig | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 29 | -2.2 |
| Deuce Turner | 26 | 2-11 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -4 | -7.1 |
| Eric Mejia | 22 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Brandon Benjamin | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | +6.8 |
| Cam Estevez | 18 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | -3.1 |
| Halon Rawlins | 17 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -3.9 |
| Isaac Munkadi | 13 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Ryan Zan | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -9.2 |
| Michael Rogan | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4.2 |
| Tony Williams | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.1 |
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Winston | 38 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | +9.0 |
| Devin Dinkins | 35 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +2.8 |
| Fraser Roxburgh | 31 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 6 | +2.5 |
| Erik Oliver-Bush | 30 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | +3.0 |
| Marko Ljubicic | 23 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +4.9 |
| Terrance Jones | 22 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +3.2 |
| Anthony Isaac | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| Quron Elliott | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Jackson Delaney | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +4.4 |
* = starter