Model Predictions
| Model | Longwood Lancers | Morgan State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 79.2% | 20.8% | -7.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morgan State Bears -4 (80-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Longwood Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emanuel Richards | 30 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -2.4 |
| Elijah Tucker | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | -5.3 |
| Johan Nziemi | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 9-15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 22 | +4.8 |
| Jacoi Hutchinson | 26 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | -6.4 |
| Alphonzo Billups III | 24 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -6.4 |
| Jaylen Benard | 17 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | +2.9 |
| Redd Thompson Jr. | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +2.9 |
| Elijah Kelly | 13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8.3 |
| Jaylin Payne | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +1.8 |
| Elijah Jones | 10 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -1.2 |
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Davis | 38 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | +3.2 |
| Christian Meeks | 34 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. | 32 | 6-15 | 2-9 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 6 | +5.3 |
| Rob Lawson | 27 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Matar Wade | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | +1.2 |
| Walter Peggs Jr. | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +1.1 |
| Christian Oliver | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Manok Lual | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +3.4 |
| Dallas James | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +2.2 |
* = starter