Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.9% | 98.1% | +21.6 | ✓ (20.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +42 (95-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Tankersley | 33 | 3-13 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | -25.3 |
| CJ Ray | 27 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | -18.2 |
| Doyel Cockrill III | 25 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | -12.6 |
| Chauncey Gibson | 23 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -4 | -20.9 |
| Joseph Owens | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8.4 |
| Tank Byard | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Lionel Larvadain | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | -17.7 |
| Daniel Zatsepin | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -13.0 |
| Dailliss Cox | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -15.3 |
| Malek Robinson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.6 |
| CJ Delancy | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.2 |
| Dakari Thomas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Klabo | 28 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | +8.3 |
| Johnny Kinziger | 24 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +29.7 |
| Brandon Lieb | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | +5.2 |
| Boden Skunberg | 21 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | +20.1 |
| Chase Walker | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | +17.0 |
| Landon Wolf | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | +23.2 |
| Jack Daugherty | 18 | 1-13 | 1-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7 | +10.3 |
| Landon Moore | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +5.5 |
| Ty'Reek Coleman | 14 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +13.0 |
| Ty Pence | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +19.0 |
| Ty Blake | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.7 |
* = starter