Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.7% | 96.3% | +18.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +11 (89-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cranford Jr. | 29 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | -7.7 |
| A. Ball | 25 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | -4.2 |
| Y. Paul | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12 | -7.2 |
| T. Buttry | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +8.3 |
| J. Holt | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -0.2 |
| M. Myrick | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -6.7 |
| J. Harris | 21 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15 | +4.4 |
| M. Williams | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | -14.5 |
| T. Jackson | 13 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -2.7 |
| M. Miles | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kinziger | 36 | 7-10 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18 | +8.2 |
| Ty Pence | 32 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 18 | +12.4 |
| B. Skunberg | 31 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | +4.4 |
| C. Walker | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | +6.4 |
| M. Klabo | 19 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | +5.6 |
| L. Moore | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -1.5 |
| L. Wolf | 18 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | -2.4 |
| J. Daugherty | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| B. Lieb | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -0.3 |
* = starter