Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Long Beach State Beach | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.1% | 14.9% | -9.6 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.7% | 6.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Long Beach State Beach -2 (80-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kinziger * | 34 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | +4.6 |
| T. Coleman * | 33 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | -1.1 |
| C. Walker * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 13-14 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | +9.6 |
| B. Skunberg * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +5.6 |
| Ty Pence * | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +0.8 |
| L. Wolf | 22 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +1.7 |
| B. Lieb | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5.4 |
| J. Daugherty | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2.6 |
| L. Moore | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| M. Klabo | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -0.4 |
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Majstorovic * | 35 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 0-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 12 | -10.3 |
| G. Sykes * | 32 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | -2.3 |
| I. Lewis * | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| L. Levillain * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -2.6 |
| C. Farrell * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1.0 |
| R. Diaz III | 25 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | +1.6 |
| S. Bender | 21 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 6 | -6.7 |
| D. Johnson Jr. | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Xzavierro | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2.6 |
| C. Jones | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Washington | 5 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +9.2 |
* = starter