Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | USC Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.3% | 77.7% | +6.9 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: USC Trojans +20 (87-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty'Reek Coleman * | 31 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Johnny Kinziger * | 31 | 6-14 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 0 | - |
| Ty Pence * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Chase Walker * | 20 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Boden Skunberg * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Landon Wolf | 25 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Lieb | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mason Klabo | 12 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Landon Moore | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jack Daugherty | 8 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Cameron Barnes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Rice * | 36 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Chad Baker-Mazara * | 33 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Jacob Cofie * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Ezra Ausar * | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5-11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Terrance Williams Ii * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Gabe Dynes | 32 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Amarion Dickerson | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jerry Easter Ii | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Marsh | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jaden Brownell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter