Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Ohio Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 82.6% | 17.4% | -8.5 | ✗ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ohio Bobcats +4 (72-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kinziger * | 38 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Ty Pence * | 32 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | -1.7 |
| B. Skunberg * | 32 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | -5.3 |
| C. Walker * | 19 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -5.8 |
| J. Daugherty * | 16 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | -7.5 |
| T. Coleman | 23 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -5.5 |
| B. Lieb | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -1.5 |
| L. Moore | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -9.4 |
| M. Klabo | 6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +4.8 |
| C. Barnes | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +0.9 |
| L. Wolf | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +3.9 |
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hadaway * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2.4 |
| J. Paveletzke * | 34 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | +7.3 |
| A. Sheldon * | 32 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | +2.6 |
| D. Conners * | 26 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -0.0 |
| J. Simmons * | 24 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | -2.9 |
| J. Kelly | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +9.3 |
| J. Breath | 16 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | +8.6 |
| K. Kuany | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +3.5 |
| J. Burris | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.9 |
* = starter