Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.7% | 23.3% | -6.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets -7 (71-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aniss Tagayi | 31 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Bree Salenbien | 31 | 5-15 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Grace Kingery | 30 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Karsyn Norman | 28 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Tessa Towers | 25 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Zhen Verburgt | 16 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Alba Caballero | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Giorgia Gorini | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Zuri Ransom | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Weaver | 36 | 6-15 | 3-10 | 6-8 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 17 | - |
| K. Carruthers | 32 | 4-14 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 6 | - |
| P. Anumgba | 30 | 8-20 | 2-6 | 6-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 9 | - |
| C. Dykstra | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Diala | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| C. VandenBosch | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Evyn Carrier | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Puot | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| E. Dykstra | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter