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2026-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Toledo Rockets Akron Zips Spread Result
Elo 77.8% 22.2% -
Bradley-Terry 77.4% 22.6% -
Margin 87.3% 12.7% -10.6 (13.6 off)
Pythagorean 79.9% 20.1% -
Efficiency 92.4% 7.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.5% 8.5% -
Log Adjusted 91.5% 8.5% -
Points Off/Def 70.2% 29.8% -

Actual: Akron Zips +3 (77-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Fedd-Robinson 35 6-15 0-1 2-3 8 3 0 0 1 14 9 -12.5
P. Anumgba 32 8-18 1-5 3-4 1 1 4 0 4 20 4 +2.3
E. Weaver 30 4-7 3-4 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 11 10 -7.5
K. Carruthers 30 2-5 1-3 2-2 2 5 0 0 2 7 7 +2.0
E. Cole 25 1-4 0-1 1-1 5 2 0 0 2 3 4 -0.2
C. Dykstra 20 3-4 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 0 2 7 5 -17.0
M. Diala 15 5-7 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 10 10 +7.6
E. Carrier 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 2 1 -5.9
A. Hocevar 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1.4

Akron Zips

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Brew 36 6-14 1-5 1-2 5 9 3 0 3 14 14 +10.7
K. McGuff 32 4-8 2-4 0-0 7 0 0 0 3 10 6 +8.0
N. Clark 30 8-15 0-0 3-4 7 1 0 0 0 19 12 +17.4
C. Reed 26 2-8 0-2 0-1 4 0 1 1 1 4 1 -2.2
I. Callaway 25 3-3 3-3 4-6 1 2 0 0 0 13 13 +14.9
M. Mitchell 18 4-8 2-2 1-2 3 2 1 1 2 11 8 -4.4
N. Johnson 13 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 -1 +3.5
E. Wigal 10 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 -2.1
L. Taponen 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -5.5
M. Vejsicky 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +1.1

* = starter