Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.3% | 14.7% | -9.7 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.0% | 10.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets -3 (69-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Turner | 37 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | +3.2 |
| T. Smith | 29 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +3.5 |
| I. Bettencourt | 27 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +7.4 |
| L. Whittaker | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | +4.8 |
| Z. Aokuso | 20 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +7.1 |
| T. Gardner | 18 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | -14.6 |
| J. Wilson | 15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +2.8 |
| J. Haile | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +1.7 |
| M. Dalan | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -10.4 |
| S. Lichtie | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +2.9 |
| P. Lofing | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.4 |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Diala | 31 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | -10.8 |
| E. Cole | 31 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | -3.3 |
| P. Anumgba | 30 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +7.2 |
| K. Carruthers | 29 | 7-17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3 | -3.2 |
| F. Fedd-Robinson | 27 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | -3.6 |
| E. Weaver | 19 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +6.7 |
| A. Hocevar | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | +2.8 |
| C. Dykstra | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +9.4 |
| E. Carrier | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +5.0 |
| E. Dykstra | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.3 |
| L. Puot | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.7 |
* = starter