Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.8% | 51.2% | -5.0 | ✗ (2.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.6% | 29.4% | -9.6 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets -3 (69-72). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allie Turner * | 37 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Taylor Smith * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ines Bettencourt * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Lauren Whittaker * | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Zeryhia Aokuso * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Teryn Gardner | 18 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Julia Wilson | 15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jaiden Haile | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| McKynnlie Dalan | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sierra Lichtie | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Paige Lofing | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evalyse Cole * | 31 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Miriam Diala * | 31 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Patricia Anumgba * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Kendall Carruthers * | 29 | 7-17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Faith Fedd-Robinson * | 27 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Ella Weaver | 19 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Alexa Hocevar | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Cadence Dykstra | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Evyn Carrier | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Elisha Dykstra | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Lizzy Puot | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter