Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.0% | 94.0% | +15.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +15 (82-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnea Donahue | 36 | 4-15 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Lauren Gerken | 33 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Paige Kohler | 33 | 7-18 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Kaia Woods | 30 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Taya Ellis | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Joniyah Bland-Fitzpatrick | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Ky'Aira Miller | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jasmine Fearne | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kendal Moxey | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Emily Siesel | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Laila Harrison | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bree Salenbien | 35 | 11-18 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 32 | 27 | - |
| Grace Kingery | 34 | 6-11 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Karsyn Norman | 30 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Zhen Verburgt | 29 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Tessa Towers | 26 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Aniss Tagayi | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Alba Caballero | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Giorgia Gorini | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Zuri Ransom | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter