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2025-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats Clemson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 40.8% 59.2% +1.2 โœ“ (1.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 30.0% 70.0% - โœ“
Margin 34.1% 65.9% +3.6 โœ“ (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 36.9% 63.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 36.7% 63.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 36.1% 63.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 40.2% 59.8% - โœ“

Actual: Clemson Tigers +3 (68-65). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Thomas * 34 6-12 5-9 0-0 4 1 3 0 1 17 12 +5.8
Baba Miller * 30 2-7 0-2 3-4 7 3 1 2 1 7 12 +7.9
Moustapha Thiam * 26 5-8 1-1 4-4 5 0 1 1 1 15 13 -11.9
Shon Abaev * 14 1-5 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 3 -1 -16.2
Kerr Kriisa * 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -12.1
Jizzle James 29 3-9 1-2 3-4 3 3 0 0 3 10 4 +11.5
Sencire Harris 28 4-9 1-1 1-3 4 1 0 0 1 10 5 +5.2
Jalen Celestine 16 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -3 -6.5
Halvine Dzellat 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 0 5 +9.8

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Hunter * 34 2-5 1-1 5-6 7 4 0 0 2 10 14 +0.2
Jestin Porter * 31 3-6 3-5 2-2 2 2 1 1 3 11 8 +4.8
RJ Godfrey * 25 5-10 0-1 0-1 1 1 1 0 3 10 0 -1.2
Carter Welling * 21 4-8 2-4 2-3 5 0 1 0 1 12 9 -0.3
Jake Wahlin * 20 1-5 1-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 +10.4
Nick Davidson 27 4-5 2-2 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 10 12 -2.5
Ace Buckner 27 5-11 1-2 1-2 2 3 1 0 1 12 6 -6.0
Efrem Johnson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 +6.6
Chase Thompson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +10.3

* = starter