Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 98.8% | 1.2% | -24.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -20 (65-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naomy Zonzon-Huyghe | 34 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +2.5 |
| Hunter Hernandez | 34 | 11-22 | 3-8 | 16-18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 41 | 22 | +8.6 |
| Lauryn Madsen | 33 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +5.3 |
| Jada Wynn | 31 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 8-11 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Summah Hanson | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | +6.7 |
| Daniela Falcon Hernandez | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +6.1 |
| Nohealani Stores | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -13.9 |
| Ameerah Grant | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Haley Hernandez | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Reese Noa | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -5.5 |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa McManus | 36 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Alana Goosby | 30 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5.5 |
| Charish Thompson | 25 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 7 | +2.1 |
| Nora Perez | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | -4.8 |
| Madison Butcher | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -4.2 |
| Dulci Vail | 16 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | -5.0 |
| Jordan Billing | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.4 |
| Avery Knapp | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Arissa Garcia | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +8.4 |
| Ana Moleon Hidalgo | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +0.9 |
| Katie Peiffer | 5 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -4.7 |
| Maya Sharvit | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.8 |
| Gillian Bears | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.2 |
* = starter