Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Long Beach State Beach | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Long Beach State Beach +10 (67-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charish Thompson | 37 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | -3.0 |
| Alana Goosby | 37 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | -15.2 |
| Vanessa McManus | 35 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3 | -5.8 |
| Nora Perez | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Arissa Garcia | 25 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -5.6 |
| Madison Butcher | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +1.8 |
| Avery Knapp | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -5.9 |
| Jordan Billing | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.7 |
| Dulci Vail | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -10.8 |
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JaQuoia Jones-Brown | 40 | 10-19 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 15 | +7.6 |
| Rosie Akot | 34 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +6.3 |
| Kennan Ka | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | +21.2 |
| Morgan Mack | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +3.5 |
| Khylee Pepe | 27 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | +5.2 |
| Brynna Pukis | 22 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -10.4 |
| Judit Oliva Fernandez | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Tairat Samuel - Afolabi | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.1 |
| Christy Reynoso | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.2 |
* = starter