Model Predictions
| Model | Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 96.4% | 3.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 91.9% | 8.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 97.4% | 2.6% | -20.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.4% | 3.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.5% | 3.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -17 (54-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Flavell | 26 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | +15.3 |
| Saniyah Neverson | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +20.4 |
| Imani Perez | 23 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | +23.0 |
| Keiara Curtis | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +6.6 |
| Rebecca Moors | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +13.2 |
| Jovi Lefotu | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +4.6 |
| Teyahna Bond | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -14.9 |
| Ritorya Tamilo | 13 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | +6.5 |
| Kyra Webb | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -9.8 |
| Jade Peacock | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -7.0 |
| Fiamma Serra | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -13.3 |
| K. Filemu | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -9.5 |
| Izzy Forsyth | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -12.0 |
| Ella Collins | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.5 |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arissa Garcia | 37 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | -14.4 |
| Vanessa McManus | 31 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | -12.2 |
| Charish Thompson | 31 | 9-15 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 7 | +12.9 |
| Ana Moleon Hidalgo | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +12.5 |
| Avery Knapp | 19 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 21 | +13.5 |
| Jordan Billing | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7.3 |
| Nora Perez | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | -15.0 |
| Dulci Vail | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -12.5 |
| Vivian Franklin | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +10.5 |
| Katie Peiffer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Gillian Bears | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -8.5 |
| Ella Skrzyniarz | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.6 |
* = starter