Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.7% | 94.3% | +15.4 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +8 (76-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Hawkins | 35 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Marley Langi | 32 | 10-18 | 7-12 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 13 | - |
| Tianna Sutherland | 29 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Maria Dias | 25 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Chrishawn Coleman | 25 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Aaliyah Carter | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Zalissa Finley | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dae'Jaidence Kincade | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tena Ikidi | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Norris | 38 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 22 | - |
| Ryann Bennett | 36 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Avery Sussex | 33 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Nya Epps | 30 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Tegan Young | 23 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| V. Baker | 20 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Emmy Ersdala | 14 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Sophie Lentfer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Theoni Tsami | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Carrington Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter