Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.6% | 7.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 96.3% | 3.7% | -17.9 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.5% | 3.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -10 (51-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Grant | 36 | 1-9 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Zoe Borter | 34 | 8-17 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Madison Naro | 32 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Olivia Bradley | 32 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Zoe Shaw | 29 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Julia Puente Valverde | 26 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Chauncey Andersen | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charish Thompson | 36 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Dulci Vail | 32 | 5-15 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Alana Goosby | 31 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Katie Peiffer | 27 | 4-11 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Arissa Garcia | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Avery Knapp | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Vivian Franklin | 16 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Gabby Robinson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ana Moleon Hidalgo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gillian Bears | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter