Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.7% | 94.3% | +15.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders +17 (63-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa McManus | 31 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Charish Thompson | 30 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Arissa Garcia | 28 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alana Goosby | 28 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -6 | - |
| Madison Butcher | 28 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Nora Perez | 18 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Gabby Robinson | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Avery Knapp | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Billing | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Vivian Franklin | 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Gillian Bears | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Katie Peiffer | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ana Moleon Hidalgo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Wickstrom | 30 | 9-19 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Kaylani Polk | 28 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Seneca Hackley | 28 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Bria Shine | 27 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Maya Chocano | 24 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Makayla Minshall | 18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Dieynaba Sylla | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Maria Mejia | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Taylor Swanson | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Jayda Cobbs | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter