Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Fullerton Titans | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.8% | 15.2% | -20.7 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.8% | 22.2% | -13.8 | ✓ (18.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 97.9% | 2.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -32 (64-96). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Swindle * | 26 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Maxine Sutisna * | 26 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Nicole Steiner * | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jana Falsdottir * | 19 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Kya Pearson * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Mimi Moon | 25 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 8-10 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Maddy Tauro | 23 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Talia Maxwell | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Basak Orhan | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Lilliana Petersen | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charish Thompson * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Vanessa McManus * | 32 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Alana Goosby * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Madison Butcher * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Nora Perez * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Arissa Garcia | 22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Gillian Bears | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Gabby Robinson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Billing | 11 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Katie Peiffer | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Vivian Franklin | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Avery Knapp | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter