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2025-12-12

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 10.4% 89.6% -
Bradley-Terry 18.8% 81.2% -
Margin 17.6% 82.4% +8.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.5% 84.5% -
Log Adjusted 15.4% 84.6% -
Points Off/Def 30.1% 69.9% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +8 (71-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Pope 32 5-10 1-4 4-4 1 1 0 0 0 15 7 -2.3
T. Mark 29 6-13 1-2 2-2 5 1 2 0 1 15 9 -8.3
S. Wilcher 28 3-7 1-3 2-2 1 1 2 1 2 9 5 -6.6
L. Traore 25 0-4 0-0 1-2 7 1 3 1 1 1 8 -2.0
M. Vokietaitis 25 2-6 0-0 5-8 5 2 0 0 3 9 7 +1.7
D. Swain 25 3-7 0-1 3-8 3 1 1 0 5 9 2 -10.6
C. Weaver 18 1-5 1-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 5 3 +1.8
C. Heide 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -5.4

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Karaban 36 8-14 2-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 18 10 +9.3
S. Ball 33 3-10 1-5 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 9 3 +13.5
T. Reed Jr. 30 5-7 0-0 2-4 6 5 1 4 1 12 20 +6.9
B. Mullins 25 4-7 2-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 10 8 +2.5
M. Smith 22 2-2 0-0 0-3 2 9 1 0 3 4 11 +3.6
S. Demary Jr. 19 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 5 1 0 5 2 1 +3.7
J. Stewart 18 3-5 1-2 3-4 2 1 1 0 0 10 9 +2.3
E. Reibe 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 4 5 -0.1
J. Ross 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -0.0

* = starter