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2025-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 36.6% 63.4% -
Bradley-Terry 62.8% 37.2% -
Margin 67.8% 32.2% -4.1 (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -
Efficiency 91.9% 8.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.9% 29.1% -
Log Adjusted 71.1% 28.9% -
Points Off/Def 57.2% 42.8% -

Actual: UConn Huskies -4 (67-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Peat * 37 7-14 0-0 2-4 12 3 0 2 1 16 18 +4.9
J. Bradley * 35 6-13 1-2 8-9 3 2 2 0 3 21 12 +4.0
I. Kharchenkov * 30 3-8 1-5 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 8 3 +6.8
M. Krivas * 29 4-6 0-0 1-2 14 1 0 0 1 9 17 -1.6
B. Burries * 19 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 -1 +1.3
A. Dell'Orso 27 2-6 0-2 2-2 0 2 1 0 2 6 1 -2.6
T. Awaka 14 1-2 0-0 5-6 7 0 0 2 0 7 14 -1.4
D. Aristode 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -7.1

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Karaban * 35 2-5 1-2 3-5 3 1 0 2 1 8 8 +0.9
S. Ball * 32 5-14 1-8 3-3 2 1 0 0 0 14 3 -0.3
E. Reibe * 28 6-10 2-5 1-4 4 0 0 2 0 15 11 -6.9
J. Stewart * 28 4-8 2-4 0-0 3 0 2 1 0 10 8 -2.7
S. Demary Jr. * 26 6-10 1-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 13 7 -12.7
J. Ross 22 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 3 1 +4.2
M. Smith 17 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 8 0 0 1 2 5 +17.3
D. Koroma 12 0-0 0-0 2-6 2 2 2 0 1 2 7 +7.7

* = starter