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2025-11-15

Model Predictions

Model BYU Cougars UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 7.9% 92.1% -
Bradley-Terry 25.0% 75.0% -
Margin 29.6% 70.4% +4.8 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% -
Efficiency 22.2% 77.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.1% 71.9% -
Log Adjusted 28.2% 71.8% -
Points Off/Def 36.6% 63.4% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +2 (86-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Wright III * 36 7-12 2-6 0-0 0 4 1 0 6 16 3 +0.5
AJ Dybantsa * 34 8-14 2-3 7-10 6 0 2 0 3 25 16 -0.7
R. Saunders * 34 6-14 0-7 5-6 4 1 1 0 1 17 8 +5.9
M. Boskovic * 16 2-8 0-5 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 4 2 -10.5
K. Keita * 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 -6.8
D. Baker 24 3-5 3-4 3-3 0 1 2 0 2 12 8 +2.2
K. Mboup 22 1-1 0-0 0-1 6 0 1 1 1 2 8 +13.3
T. Mrus 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 +4.1
X. Staton 8 1-2 0-0 1-1 2 1 0 0 0 3 4 -2.8
D. Diomande 4 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 -4.2

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Karaban * 39 8-11 4-4 1-1 3 1 2 1 0 21 17 -2.3
S. Demary Jr. * 36 6-12 1-2 8-11 5 7 2 0 1 21 22 -0.9
T. Reed Jr. * 34 8-10 0-0 5-9 8 2 0 2 4 21 19 +1.9
J. Stewart * 29 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 4 1 0 3 2 2 -3.7
S. Ball * 23 2-6 1-5 3-4 5 2 0 1 3 8 7 +9.1
M. Smith 22 0-3 0-1 1-2 1 4 2 0 2 1 3 -4.9
J. Ross 12 4-6 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 10 3 +9.0
E. Reibe 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 +1.2

* = starter