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2025-11-15

Model Predictions

Model BYU Cougars UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 17.7% 82.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 22.4% 77.6% - โœ“
Margin 27.9% 72.1% +5.2 โœ“ (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.9% 56.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 26.7% 73.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 28.1% 71.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 28.1% 71.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.8% 63.2% - โœ“

Actual: UConn Huskies +2 (86-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robert Wright III * 36 7-12 2-6 0-0 0 4 1 0 6 16 3 +3.3
AJ Dybantsa * 34 8-14 2-3 7-10 6 0 2 0 3 25 16 +1.7
Richie Saunders * 34 6-14 0-7 5-6 4 1 1 0 1 17 8 +8.6
Mihailo Boskovic * 16 2-8 0-5 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 4 2 -5.7
Keba Keita * 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 -4.1
Dawson Baker 24 3-5 3-4 3-3 0 1 2 0 2 12 8 +3.2
Khadim Mboup 22 1-1 0-0 0-1 6 0 1 1 1 2 8 +14.5
Tyler Mrus 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 +1.1
Xavion Staton 8 1-2 0-0 1-1 2 1 0 0 0 3 4 -7.6
Dominique Diomande 4 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 -2.1

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alex Karaban * 39 8-11 4-4 1-1 3 1 2 1 0 21 17 +2.1
Silas Demary Jr. * 36 6-12 1-2 8-11 5 7 2 0 1 21 22 +8.1
Tarris Reed Jr. * 34 8-10 0-0 5-9 8 2 0 2 4 21 19 -1.4
Jaylin Stewart * 29 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 4 1 0 3 2 2 +0.6
Solo Ball * 23 2-6 1-5 3-4 5 2 0 1 3 8 7 +1.8
Malachi Smith 22 0-3 0-1 1-2 1 4 2 0 2 1 3 -4.8
Jayden Ross 12 4-6 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 10 3 +7.7
Eric Reibe 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 +2.8

* = starter