Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Holy Cross Crusaders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.3% | 22.7% | -6.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Holy Cross Crusaders -4 (69-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Doty * | 38 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -7.9 |
| Brendan Coyle * | 37 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | -3.6 |
| Justice Shoats * | 36 | 11-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 13 | -7.9 |
| Tasman Goodrick * | 18 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | -4.4 |
| Antonio Chandler * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +1.3 |
| Francis Folefac | 31 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | -12.0 |
| Christian Jones | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Isaiah Henderson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -4.2 |
Holy Cross Crusaders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aiden Disu * | 36 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | -1.6 |
| Tyler Boston * | 31 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +7.7 |
| Joe Nugent * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | +4.5 |
| Gabe Warren * | 27 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | +8.5 |
| Aidan Richard * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +4.1 |
| Deandre Williams | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +4.5 |
| Will Aljancic | 14 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +3.2 |
| John St. Germain Iii | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Declan Ryan | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +7.4 |
* = starter