Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Holy Cross Crusaders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.3% | 18.7% | -8.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Holy Cross Crusaders -4 (69-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Doty * | 38 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -7.9 |
| B. Coyle * | 37 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | -3.6 |
| J. Shoats * | 36 | 11-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 13 | -7.9 |
| T. Goodrick * | 18 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | -4.4 |
| A. Chandler * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +1.3 |
| F. Folefac | 31 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | -12.0 |
| C. Jones | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| I. Henderson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -4.2 |
Holy Cross Crusaders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Disu * | 36 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | -1.6 |
| T. Boston * | 31 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +7.7 |
| J. Nugent * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | +4.5 |
| G. Warren * | 27 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | +8.5 |
| A. Richard * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +4.1 |
| D. Williams | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +4.5 |
| W. Aljancic | 14 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +3.2 |
| J. St. Germain III | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Ryan | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +7.4 |
* = starter