Model Predictions
| Model | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | Chicago State Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.1% | 43.9% | -1.3 | ✗ (20.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago State Cougars +19 (70-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darin Smith Jr. | 38 | 6-18 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Jay Rodgers | 34 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -13.7 |
| James Jones | 32 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -15.8 |
| Max Frazier | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | -12.8 |
| Roddy Jones | 17 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | -5.9 |
| Elijah Parker | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -6.8 |
| Ashton Reynolds | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -8.9 |
| Melo Sanchez | 12 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | +0.3 |
| Jayden Mott | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6.5 |
| D. James | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.0 |
| Nico Ashley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Ray | 33 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | +12.9 |
| Marcus Tankersley | 32 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | +17.7 |
| Doyel Cockrill III | 30 | 4-14 | 4-13 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | +17.8 |
| Braelon Bush | 28 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +15.7 |
| Tank Byard | 26 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Malek Robinson | 11 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +1.3 |
| Corey Sands | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.2 |
| Dailliss Cox | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +2.2 |
| Daniel Zatsepin | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.9 |
| Joseph Owens | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Chauncey Gibson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +6.3 |
* = starter