Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 | ✗ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Connecticut Blue Devils -14 (70-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Benjamin | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 18 | +2.7 |
| Braden Sparks | 28 | 8-13 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | +1.8 |
| Declan Wucherpfennig | 25 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2.8 |
| Deuce Turner | 20 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +10.9 |
| Eric Mejia | 20 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | -0.9 |
| Tony Williams | 19 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | -3.7 |
| Halon Rawlins | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | +4.5 |
| Ryan Zan | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +10.5 |
| Isaac Munkadi | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +4.4 |
| Cam Estevez | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +1.7 |
| Nasir Rodriguez | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +7.8 |
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Jones | 35 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3.3 |
| Jay Rodgers | 29 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -2.7 |
| Darin Smith Jr. | 29 | 7-19 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 6 | -7.5 |
| Melo Sanchez | 21 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | -5.0 |
| Max Frazier | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | -12.4 |
| D. James | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Ashton Reynolds | 14 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +6.6 |
| Ja'Kobe Williams | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -1.6 |
| Elijah Parker | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -4.6 |
| Gabe Spinelli | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Roddy Jones | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -8.9 |
* = starter