Model Predictions
| Model | Maine Black Bears | Quinnipiac Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.1% | 87.9% | +12.3 | ✗ (20.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.6% | 69.4% | +9.0 | ✗ (17.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Quinnipiac Bobcats -8 (55-63). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Maine Black Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrianna Smith * | 38 | 7-18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Asta Blauenfeldt * | 38 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Sarah Talon * | 34 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Lizzy Gruber * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Emmie Streams * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Olivia Alvarez | 30 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Amiyah Donaldson | 18 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Lala Woods | 14 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Maddie Fitzpatrick | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Mackenzie Mori | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Abby Price | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Quinnipiac Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Grisdale * | 37 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Ella Ryan * | 34 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Paige Girardi * | 29 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Sydney Ryan * | 29 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ella O'Donnell * | 28 | 5-20 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Anna Foley | 16 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Karson Martin | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Maria Kealy | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Emma Lizotte | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter