Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.2% | 99.8% | +33.4 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +21 (100-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Cruz | 34 | 6-16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | -14.2 |
| Flash Burton | 33 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | -18.5 |
| Caleb Smith | 32 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | -14.0 |
| Davis Bynum | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | -8.6 |
| Shemani Fuller | 22 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 13 | +5.2 |
| Daniel Helterhoff | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -14.7 |
| Cole McCabe | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -8.7 |
| Jamir McNeil | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -3.6 |
| K. Kepežinskas | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| AB Coulibaly | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -3.4 |
| Antwan Wilson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +4.2 |
| Maurizio D'Alessandro | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadrian Tracey | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | +8.0 |
| Brandon Jennings | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +7.4 |
| Keyshawn Mitchell | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | +9.4 |
| Michael Belle | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +12.3 |
| Barry Evans | 22 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +11.4 |
| Terrence Hill Jr. | 20 | 4-9 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +11.9 |
| Nyk Lewis | 19 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Lazar Djokovic | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | +5.3 |
| Ahmad Nowell | 15 | 7-8 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | +18.4 |
| Jordan Tillery | 8 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +3.2 |
| Jordann Dumont | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5.9 |
| Tyrell Ward | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5.7 |
* = starter