Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.9% | 99.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.1% | 99.9% | +39.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +34 (87-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Cruz * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Flash Burton * | 26 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Cole McCabe * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mohamad Diallo * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Davis Bynum * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Caleb Smith | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Daniel Helterhoff | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| K. Kepežinskas | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Antwan Wilson | 15 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Jamir McNeil | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Shemani Fuller | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| AB Coulibaly | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Devean Williams | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Maurizio D'Alessandro | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallin Hall * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Johann Grünloh * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Thijs De Ridder * | 24 | 10-14 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Malik Thomas * | 24 | 1-10 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Sam Lewis * | 21 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4-9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Chance Mallory | 24 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Jacari White | 19 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Ugonna Onyenso | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Elijah Gertrude | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Martin Carrere | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Carter Lang | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Owen Odom | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Desmond Roberts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter