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2025-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Colgate Raiders Spread Result
Elo 65.2% 34.8% -
Bradley-Terry 45.6% 54.4% -
Margin 60.4% 39.6% -2.3 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.8% 47.2% -
Efficiency 81.6% 18.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.3% 31.7% -
Log Adjusted 68.6% 31.4% -
Points Off/Def 52.6% 47.4% -

Actual: Colgate Raiders -9 (69-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Batties II 36 8-14 3-6 3-3 7 1 3 1 1 22 19 +8.0
C. Pigge 36 8-15 2-4 0-1 4 3 2 0 4 18 8 +11.0
T. Barbour 33 7-10 4-6 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 18 14 +10.1
R. Hinton 33 4-10 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 9 0 +0.1
B. Eisendrath 25 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 1 2 0 0 +8.3
A. Hunt 24 2-5 2-2 2-2 6 2 2 0 1 8 12 +15.4
R. Sullivan 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -7.0
X. Nesbitt 5 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -2.1
F. Mannino 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -4.0

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Tweedy 36 6-9 4-6 1-2 4 4 0 0 2 17 14 -7.4
J. Cox 36 7-14 0-0 5-5 5 8 2 0 3 19 17 +4.0
A. Alekseyenko 32 7-13 1-4 2-2 7 2 0 0 2 17 11 -1.6
J. Ahayere 30 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 4 0 2 0 1 -10.4
S. Wright 25 5-10 0-3 0-1 4 1 3 1 1 10 8 -1.4
K. Carlesimo 19 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -4 -10.4
A. Odetoyinbo 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 2 6 -3.7
C. Wright 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 -9.9

* = starter