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2025-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Colgate Raiders Spread Result
Elo 61.7% 38.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 54.0% 46.0% - โœ“
Margin 60.3% 39.7% -2.3 โœ“ (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.8% 47.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 63.9% 36.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 68.4% 31.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 68.6% 31.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.1% 46.9% - โœ“

Actual: Colgate Raiders -9 (69-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Thomas Batties II 36 8-14 3-6 3-3 7 1 3 1 1 22 19 +9.6
Chandler Pigge 36 8-15 2-4 0-1 4 3 2 0 4 18 8 +11.8
Tey Barbour 33 7-10 4-6 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 18 14 +12.8
Robert Hinton 33 4-10 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 9 0 +2.1
Ben Eisendrath 25 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 1 2 0 0 +8.8
Austin Hunt 24 2-5 2-2 2-2 6 2 2 0 1 8 12 +13.2
Ryan Sullivan 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.7
Xavier Nesbitt 5 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -2.2
Frankie Mannino 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -3.6

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Tweedy 36 6-9 4-6 1-2 4 4 0 0 2 17 14 -9.5
Jalen Cox 36 7-14 0-0 5-5 5 8 2 0 3 19 17 +2.0
Andrew Alekseyenko 32 7-13 1-4 2-2 7 2 0 0 2 17 11 +0.4
Josh Ahayere 30 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 4 0 2 0 1 -7.0
Sam Wright 25 5-10 0-3 0-1 4 1 3 1 1 10 8 -5.2
Kyle Carlesimo 19 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -4 -15.2
Ayomi Odetoyinbo 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 2 6 -4.3
Cooper Wright 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 -7.4

* = starter