Model Predictions
| Model | Pennsylvania Quakers | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.0% | 33.0% | -3.9 | ✗ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: American University Eagles +6 (84-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pennsylvania Quakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Zanoni * | 37 | 6-13 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | -0.2 |
| E. Roberts * | 30 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 11-14 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 11 | -10.7 |
| A. Gerhart * | 28 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 17 | -0.5 |
| TJ Power * | 25 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | -5.6 |
| AJ Levine * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -2.1 |
| C. Thrower | 31 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | +7.3 |
| L. Lueth | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Scantlebury | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -6.2 |
| N. Polonowski | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.8 |
| J. Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -12.1 |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Jones * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | +14.5 |
| J. Iturbe * | 26 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +11.6 |
| M. Mayock * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4.7 |
| G. Sprouse * | 25 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | +2.4 |
| W. Nausadis * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +5.5 |
| M. Collins | 25 | 11-17 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 15 | +4.3 |
| K. Sebastian | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +2.4 |
| C. McDonald | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | -5.7 |
| C. Eagan | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| D. Hogans | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.0 |
* = starter