Model Predictions
| Model | IU Indianapolis Jaguars | Wisconsin Badgers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.4% | 94.6% | +20.1 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.2% | 97.8% | +20.9 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +9 (81-72). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
IU Indianapolis Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevaeh Foster * | 35 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | -11.1 |
| Sydney Bolden * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -14.7 |
| Olivia Smith * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | -12.1 |
| Hailey Smith * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | -18.1 |
| Julia Hall * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -16.3 |
| Ariana Williams | 22 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | +19.8 |
| Kamara Mills | 21 | 8-9 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | +0.4 |
| E'Zaria Adams | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +10.3 |
| Jemma Amoore | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | +10.0 |
| Camron Blank | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +8.1 |
| Denali Craig-Edwards | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.5 |
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laci Steele * | 28 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +8.0 |
| Ronnie Porter * | 28 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | +13.6 |
| Kyrah Daniels * | 26 | 4-16 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +12.1 |
| Breauna Ware * | 26 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | +3.3 |
| Gift Uchenna Okeke * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Lily Krahn | 20 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +6.5 |
| Shay Bollin | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Dorja Iva Zaja | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | +13.1 |
| Jovana Spasovski | 12 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -1 | +7.0 |
| Alie Bisballe | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -8.4 |
| Nikki Kerstein | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -8.8 |
| Leena Patibandla | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.7 |
| Alba Martin Mesa | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.7 |
| Reese Jaramillo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
* = starter