Model Predictions
| Model | Mercyhurst Lakers | Wagner Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.0% | 47.0% | -6.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.7% | 56.3% | +2.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wagner Seahawks -6 (67-73). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Mercyhurst Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cici Hernandez * | 40 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 7-9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Jenna Van Schaik * | 37 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 14-17 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 22 | - |
| Sofia Wilson * | 35 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Erica Hall * | 33 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Lena Walz * | 24 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Alena Fusetti | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Imani Frazier | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lauryn Stover | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Quinn Borroni | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Shannon Heine | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keana Foz * | 39 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Irene Fernandez de Caleya * | 37 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Priscila Varela * | 34 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Klea Kaci * | 33 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Lijirin Doyinsola Modesayor * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Alivia Landy | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Malia Mpondo | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Maria Doreste | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Hawa Balde-Camara | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Angelie Ricard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Raneem ElBarky | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter