Model Predictions
| Model | Wagner Seahawks | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.2% | 35.8% | -10.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.0% | 31.0% | -8.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Connecticut Blue Devils -9 (41-50). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irene Fernandez de Caleya * | 38 | 0-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Keana Foz * | 33 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Priscila Varela * | 28 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Lijirin Doyinsola Modesayor * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Angelie Ricard * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Klea Kaci | 21 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Maria Doreste | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Hawa Balde-Camara | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Malia Mpondo | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Alivia Landy | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiyah Lewis * | 40 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Lucia Noin * | 39 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jessica Farrell * | 39 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Cierra Pearson * | 39 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Nicora Patrick * | 35 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Mathilda Toure | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Trinity Barnes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter