Model Predictions
| Model | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | Wagner Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.8% | 92.2% | +13.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wagner Seahawks +19 (63-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Farrell | 39 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | -6 | -12.0 |
| Kiyah Lewis | 35 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 10 | -12.8 |
| Lucia Noin | 33 | 2-14 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Kayla Henry | 31 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -2 | -16.9 |
| Cierra Pearson | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -21.0 |
| Nicora Patrick | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -8.8 |
| Christa Ramos | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5.7 |
| Mia Toure | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -5.0 |
| Jah'Nae Stevens | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.9 |
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irene Fernandez de Caleya | 37 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 11 | +4.2 |
| Priscila Varela | 31 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +10.6 |
| Keana Foz | 27 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | +8.9 |
| Klea Kaci | 25 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | +13.8 |
| Lijirin Doyinsola Modesayor | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +2.6 |
| Maria Doreste | 18 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | +5.3 |
| Hawa Balde-Camara | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11 | +6.3 |
| Angelie Ricard | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1.0 |
| Malia Mpondo | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -3.3 |
| Alivia Landy | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +2.3 |
* = starter