Model Predictions
| Model | New Haven Chargers | Wagner Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.1% | 82.9% | +8.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.0% | 61.0% | +4.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wagner Seahawks +5 (50-45). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New Haven Chargers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aniya McDonald-Perry * | 39 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Merit Innocent * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Renelle Grannum * | 29 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Addisen Sulikowski * | 26 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Lindsay Hogan * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Teaira Kelley | 26 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Schuyler Coles | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Katelyn Simpson | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jasmine McKay | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Eveani Okwuosa | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Katie Drozd | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keana Foz * | 37 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Irene Fernandez de Caleya * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Priscila Varela * | 22 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Lijirin Doyinsola Modesayor * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Angelie Ricard * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Klea Kaci | 24 | 3-10 | 2-9 | 7-8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Hawa Balde-Camara | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Maria Doreste | 17 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Alivia Landy | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Malia Mpondo | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter