Model Predictions
| Model | Wagner Seahawks | Mercyhurst Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.1% | 58.9% | +2.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercyhurst Lakers +3 (69-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irene Fernandez de Caleya | 40 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Keana Foz | 32 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Angelie Ricard | 29 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Lijirin Doyinsola Modesayor | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Priscila Varela | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Klea Kaci | 15 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Hawa Balde-Camara | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Alivia Landy | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Maria Doreste | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Malia Mpondo | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Mercyhurst Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lena Walz | 40 | 8-18 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 6 | - |
| Cici Hernandez | 38 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Sofia Wilson | 37 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Jenna Van Schaik | 33 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Erica Hall | 32 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Alena Fusetti | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Quinn Borroni | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lauryn Stover | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter