Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Wagner Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wagner Seahawks +11 (62-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keona McGee | 37 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 0 | -8.4 |
| Marisa Gant | 36 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | -1.6 |
| Natalia Williams | 32 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 4 | -3.6 |
| Kayla Mount | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Kace Urlacher | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Tania Allen | 19 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | +3.0 |
| Elani Randall | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1.3 |
| Brianna Hill | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Chloe Sisco | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.0 |
| Kyara Champagne | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.4 |
| Jade Hamilton-Gill | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irene Fernandez de Caleya | 40 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 12 | -1.3 |
| Keana Foz | 37 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 9 | +2.4 |
| Angelie Ricard | 26 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +2.4 |
| Hawa Balde-Camara | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | +15.4 |
| Lijirin Doyinsola Modesayor | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 2 | -14.9 |
| Priscila Varela | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3.7 |
| Klea Kaci | 15 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | +5.8 |
| Malia Mpondo | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -10.3 |
| Alivia Landy | 8 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Maria Doreste | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
* = starter