Model Predictions
| Model | Monmouth Hawks | Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | +6.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.1% | 79.9% | +7.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +13 (63-50). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Andrews * | 38 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | -7.0 |
| Ella Farrelly * | 36 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -16.6 |
| Madalena Amaro * | 32 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -3.1 |
| Kathy Kersaint * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | +0.4 |
| Alexis Davis * | 16 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | +0.4 |
| Divine Dibula | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | +4.3 |
| Gigi Gamble | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Fatumata Djalo | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -12.6 |
| Kellyn Preira | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.4 |
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Renninger * | 40 | 7-15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 9 | +11.6 |
| Kailee McDonald * | 37 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +8.8 |
| Leah Crosby * | 24 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +12.0 |
| Rebecca Osei-Owusu * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | +0.7 |
| Madlena Gerke * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | -5.5 |
| Reese Downey | 29 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +11.1 |
| Bella Toomey | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.9 |
| Akeelah Lafleur | 12 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | +9.9 |
| Joi Johnson | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -11.4 |
* = starter