Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.4% | 86.6% | +10.3 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Connecticut Blue Devils +5 (69-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Wicks | 37 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 5-8 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | -0.8 |
| Chris Moncrief | 35 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 4 | -4.6 |
| Gestin Liberis | 31 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | -12.2 |
| Victor Payne | 28 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -7.4 |
| Ahmad Harrison | 28 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Zion Russell | 26 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -4.2 |
| Paris Papadatos | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +5.4 |
| Cameron Tweedy | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +4.3 |
| Brandon Russell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2.8 |
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melo Sanchez | 35 | 6-13 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Darin Smith Jr. | 35 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Jay Rodgers | 29 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | +7.1 |
| James Jones | 28 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +3.3 |
| Max Frazier | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | +7.2 |
| Elijah Parker | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.8 |
| Jayden Mott | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +5.2 |
| Ashton Reynolds | 10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -4.9 |
| Nico Ashley | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +7.7 |
| D. James | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.3 |
* = starter